USDC
Circle · Regulated payment stablecoin (benchmark anchor) · Multichain · $75.0B supply · as of 2026-07-11
Benchmark anchor for the scale. Regulated, monthly-attested cash and T-bill reserves via regulated funds. The 2023 SVB depeg showed bank-channel exposure is real but survivable; structure has strengthened since.
A
89.6
draftconf high
Haircut: 4.0%
base 4% (A) x 1.00 (high confidence) + 0pp class + 0pp flags
Illustrative — not a margin requirement.
Backing & reserves95 · 25%
Redemption & exit92 · 20%
Direct 1:1 institutional redemption, deep secondary liquidity across every major venue. [1]
Counterparty & custody85 · 15%
Bank and custodian concentration remains the residual risk; SVB (Mar 2023) was the realized case. [1]
Peg & market infrastructure82 · 15%
One historical depeg to ~$0.87 (SVB weekend), recovered in days. Widely oracle-priced at market, not hardcoded. [1]
Leverage & rehypothecation88 · 15%
Ubiquitous collateral but not a recursive-yield instrument itself. [1]
What would change this grade: Evidence of reserve composition drifting from cash/T-bills, or loss of a primary banking/custody relationship without replacement, would cut Backing and Counterparty scores.
Live price
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Model signals
Not yet computedThe quantitative signal layer (stress-tested loss distributions, peg/leverage/backing metrics) is in development — see pivot/08_QUANT_ENGINE_SPEC.md. When live, signals are computed continuously by a model; grades are always signed by the analyst. The two are shown separately and never conflated.
Evidence appendix
As of 2026-07-11 · Methodology v0.2.1